Welcome to the contest tracking site where you can track how you and your fellow peers are doing on the contest. The list contains investment Wall Street Experts who also made predictions. A special expert is Smokey the donkey who predicted the S&P 500 will do the same as the last 5 years. back to current contest

Standings
Rank	Name	Guess	+ / -			Rank	Name	Guess	+ / -
1	scanchain	1212.00	0.08			112	bartgarcia	1143.00	68.92
2	tomd37	1212.12	0.20			113	jomil	1141.00	70.92
3	ixgordon	1212.70	0.78			114	gffisher	1283.00	71.08
4	neverforget	1211.00	0.92			115	per4mer	1284.99	73.07
4	Bradleyson	1211.00	0.92			116	bobbinm	1286.00	74.08
6	kempfms	1213.00	1.08			117	wpatch	1137.00	74.92
7	provident	1208.50	3.42			118	bob77h	1289.00	77.08
8	mrblade72	1216.00	4.08			119	bac573	1134.00	77.92
9	chabroken	1216.53	4.61			120	timmydink	1289.89	77.97
10	NateH	1206.56	5.36			121	jimgour	1289.92	78.00
11	jhalloran	1217.40	5.48			122	Ken969	1290.10	78.18
12	patpungi	1205.00	6.92			123	rwyoung33	1133.55	78.37
13	kobak1	1204.97	6.95			124	Lewis	1132.00	79.92
14	Sandzen	1219.00	7.08			125	DollyM	1129.00	82.92
15	danielgm	1204.46	7.46			126	madsinger	1295.10	83.18
16	skrutherford	1220.00	8.08			127	Rick Hamilton	1126.71	85.21
17	statsguy	1220.04	8.12			128	Dwhey	1125.27	86.65
18	jon1220	1220.56	8.64			129	Steve Galbraith, Morgan Stanley	1125.00	86.92	♦
19	Briang	1221.00	9.08			130	Edward Yardeni, Prudential	1300.00	88.08	♦
20	ami-b8zs	1201.48	10.44			131	DonMichael	1300.13	88.21
21	AzRunner	1201.00	10.92			132	dokeeffe	1123.58	88.34
22	rferren	1200.96	10.96			133	whitehorse64	1301.01	89.09
22	tjhonmyhr	1200.96	10.96			134	edhere	1122.50	89.42
24	pjstack	1223.00	11.08			135	JohnHenryBonham	1121.21	90.71
25	swfwildcat	1200.00	11.92			136	Abhijit Chakrabortti, J.P.Morgan	1120.00	91.92	♦
25	Brian Belski, Piper Jaffray	1200.00	11.92	♦		137	szuki	1304.00	92.08
27	chuck d	1224.00	12.08			138	jsabertsch	1117.00	94.92
28	fire5soon	1199.65	12.27			139	jcaldeira	1310.00	98.08
29	tarkbud	1224.22	12.30			140	ickeal	1312.16	100.24
30	karadad	1199.11	12.81			141	GailCox	1111.00	100.92
31	keithlommel	1197.69	14.23			141	daykevi	1111.00	100.92
32	tuffy88	1227.00	15.08			143	jcanby	1313.00	101.08
33	haban01	1196.64	15.28			143	flyfishnv	1313.00	101.08
34	Ever Ready	1196.09	15.83			145	ron525	1314.00	102.08
35	Spaniel	1228.00	16.08			146	Singapore	1318.00	106.08
36	jclaude3	1195.40	16.52			147	rickferri	1320.00	108.08
37	cyrusandmag	1228.47	16.55			148	C F S	1102.04	109.88
38	kat3c	1195.00	16.92			149	Smokey the donkey	1098.58	113.34	♦
39	BobCgs	1229.00	17.08			150	minesweep	1328.73	116.81
40	Wickenden	1193.18	18.74			151	jtravisdavid	1330.00	118.08
41	rampig	1231.04	19.12			152	rebe945	1333.00	121.08
42	carstar	1190.00	21.92			153	LynnC	1333.33	121.41
42	DJNewton	1190.00	21.92			154	HowardGiles	1334.00	122.08
44	jrjackie	1234.00	22.08			155	Ira K	1335.00	123.08
44	curiousperson	1234.00	22.08			155	khawdickl1	1335.00	123.08
46	Kathleen Ryan	1189.84	22.08			157	dgillen777	1087.00	124.92
47	pmurphy	1234.56	22.64			158	derekwy	1340.00	128.08
47	wfrank6	1234.56	22.64			159	ert2rn	1345.83	133.91
49	pikie	1188.06	23.86			160	Joe8d	1348.00	136.08
50	IRON5	1188.00	23.92			161	dcapbtls	1348.12	136.20
51	txchaoui	1187.75	24.17			162	rarvesen	1074.76	137.16
52	hacksawdave	1236.24	24.32			163	Mimir	1351.25	139.33
53	grabiner	1187.00	24.92			164	Mike50	1071.30	140.62
54	MikeyP	1237.00	25.08			165	nakor28	1066.00	145.92
55	bikeguy	1184.00	27.92			166	Ron Jeremy	1065.00	146.92
56	Shaades	1240.00	28.08			167	Treebeard	1060.00	151.92
57	brxprow	1241.11	29.19			168	mahatmagandhi	1058.00	153.92
58	caldy	1241.45	29.53			169	gary11	1368.00	156.08
59	newlifeca	1241.90	29.98			170	Danko2	1055.55	156.37
60	rcb26	1242.26	30.34			171	tonkinese	1369.00	157.08
61	Stuart Freeman, A.G.Edwards	1180.00	31.92	♦		172	MathChallenged	1372.00	160.08
62	pglobe	1245.00	33.08			173	relay	1375.00	163.08
63	bbobsc	1246.00	34.08			174	tnlsea	1046.23	165.69
64	ultraphoto	1177.77	34.15			175	earlyout	1045.00	166.92
65	CMErick	1177.66	34.26			176	onionhead	1040.00	171.92
66	calvin	1247.00	35.08			177	Linehan	1029.00	182.92
67	emery191	1176.00	35.92			178	gassert	1026.74	185.18
68	Wade Kotter	1248.16	36.24			179	Mijo40	1026.38	185.54
69	[email protected]	1175.00	36.92			180	Tobias Levkovich, Smith Barney	1025.00	186.92	♦
70	yvarzari	1249.16	37.24			181	tivattom	1399.00	187.08
71	Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs	1250.00	38.08	♦		182	prasadsw	1400.00	188.08
72	vaughn	1173.00	38.92			183	mikeast	1409.00	197.08
73	tpcleary	1251.82	39.90			184	jeffyscott	1013.00	198.92
74	warplet	1170.00	41.92			185	AlvinSch	1012.00	199.92
74	whattodo1	1170.00	41.92			186	fishnskibum	1000.00	211.92
76	hwabbot	1168.00	43.92			187	robstein	999.99	211.93
77	Jose75	1256.00	44.08			188	bilperk	999.00	212.92
78	JMacDonald	1167.00	44.92			188	markcoop	999.00	212.92
79	pennywise777	1257.00	45.08			190	Psychscan	1426.00	214.08
80	CABob	1166.33	45.59			191	fredP	1432.00	220.08
81	Lorraine	1164.00	47.92			192	WOODJ	987.00	224.92
81	lowwall	1164.00	47.92			193	Sunny Sarkar	980.00	231.92
83	swshpeacock	1163.00	48.92			194	kg10sac	979.00	232.92
84	Display	1263.00	51.08			195	bigbillbroonzy	1445.60	233.68
85	Thomas McManus, Banc of America	1160.00	51.92	♦		196	rpetrocelli	975.00	236.92
86	arbogast777	1264.00	52.08			197	steve4th	973.00	238.92
87	alioops	1265.00	53.08			198	civkid2000	1451.34	239.42
88	rosegirl	1266.00	54.08			199	adriantwo	962.08	249.84
89	Ken Schwartz	1268.00	56.08			200	wlpotts	960.00	251.92
90	mike u.	1268.70	56.78			201	arajakum	1473.00	261.08
91	contra	1269.50	57.58			202	Gary Wall	1478.96	267.04
92	Rager1	1270.00	58.08			203	kevin9	942.00	269.92
93	Bobcat2	1153.00	58.92			204	nbwilcox	1483.00	271.08
94	Bfarley1	1271.00	59.08			205	joseph9	1489.00	277.08
95	jumbojet8	1150.00	61.92			206	mathewemorgan	923.00	288.92
95	griffinep	1150.00	61.92			206	Blue Locust	923.00	288.92
95	Chip Dickson, Lehman Brothers	1150.00	61.92	♦		208	greg24	909.00	302.92
95	Gary Gordon, UBS	1150.00	61.92	♦		209	LocalHero	1527.23	315.31
95	Hugh Johnson, First Albany	1150.00	61.92	♦		210	manded00	890.00	321.92
100	dpdennis	1274.00	62.08			210	Richard Bernstein, Merrill Lynch	890.00	321.92	♦
101	index85	1149.40	62.52			212	sajohnston	888.88	323.04
102	barberman	1275.00	63.08			213	packdog	880.00	331.92
103	kbradley1ab	1275.25	63.33			214	xwei1	852.90	359.02
104	judyS	1276.00	64.08			215	johndcraig	845.00	366.92
105	Klingon	1277.00	65.08			216	yazzee	825.79	386.13
106	jimbobalde	1146.00	65.92			217	michaelmoon	825.00	386.92
107	manatee	1278.00	66.08			218	Guzzo11	1604.00	392.08
108	MRJEAN	1145.00	66.92			219	rsbee	750.00	461.92
109	jdavewalker	1279.00	67.08			220	geade	1688.00	476.08
110	jsl11	1280.00	68.08			221	ravi agrawal	665.23	546.69
110	Adrian Nenu	1280.00	68.08			222	sapho	2000.00	788.08

Summary
Total entries	Diehards 209	Experts 12
Average guess	Diehards 1200.75	Experts 1141.67

2004 Boglehead Contest Site created by Ralph Arvesen (email / web) Standings are updated every 30 minutes. Experts are marked with a diamond (♦). Smokey the donkey of course did not make a prediction. His prediction is a baseline for the other experts to see if they can do better than a "jackass" that made a simple guess based on the previous 5 years.