Boglehead Contest 2018

S&P 500 Current Price
10/16/2018 5:57:21 AM ET
2750.79
Boglehead Contest tracking site that tracks how the Bogleheads and the Wall Street Experts (♦) are performing in the contest. Standings are updated every 15 minutes.

Previous years
201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006200520042003

Standings
RankNameGuess+ / -
RankNameGuess+ / -
1Morgan Stanley ♦2750.00(0.79)
1Scotiabank ♦2750.00(0.79)
1Stifel Nicolaus ♦2750.00(0.79)
4athan 2751.87(1.08)
5Jb11 2749.56(1.23)
6Greatodinsraven 2753.82(3.03)
7FRANK2009 2754.00(3.21)
8Taz 2746.47(4.32)
9randomizer 2746.13(4.66)
10calendario 2757.56(6.77)
11jimcrawford01 2743.17(7.62)
12jjbychko 2740.00(10.79)
13keanoz 2763.21(12.42)
14retiringwhen 2764.24(13.45)
15KarenC 2736.45(14.34)
16josh1130 2767.82(17.03)
17Raymond 2732.45(18.34)
18Lake Living 2770.00(19.21)
19cadk 2773.16(22.37)
20Gropes & Ray 2727.27(23.52)
21Cb 2727.00(23.79)
22P&C Actuary 2776.00(25.21)
23Premier 2725.23(25.56)
24imbogled 2777.17(26.38)
25VELO724X 2724.00(26.79)
26veggivet 2777.72(26.93)
27jj 2777.77(26.98)
28elgob.bogle 2721.22(29.57)
29alpine_boglehead 2780.55(29.76)
30TallBoy29er 2781.00(30.21)
31JPH 2720.49(30.30)
32Boilerip 2720.43(30.36)
33indexfundfan 2781.23(30.44)
34saltycaper 2718.28(32.51)
35Imua808 2783.51(32.72)
36Bastiat 2789.01(38.22)
37aq 2712.37(38.42)
38sandramjet 2792.12(41.33)
39Ragnoth 2793.65(42.86)
40Milo Bloom 2793.92(43.13)
41hadron 2794.00(43.21)
42Bengal22 2794.39(43.60)
43Rick Ferri 2794.75(43.96)
44bloom2708 2796.54(45.75)
45alex11 2798.16(47.37)
46Babakhani 2703.00(47.79)
47MrTiger 2798.68(47.89)
48Bank of America ♦2800.00(49.21)
48Canaccord ♦2800.00(49.21)
48likegarden 2800.00(49.21)
51Display 2801.00(50.21)
52vanpan 2801.20(50.41)
53squawkident 2700.20(50.59)
54Mountain Doc 2804.76(53.97)
55JFN111 2807.00(56.21)
56oncorhynchus 2807.29(56.50)
57bkweathe 2807.30(56.51)
58Cyclesafe 2807.71(56.92)
59JamalJones 2808.15(57.36)
60Talisker 2808.57(57.78)
61PuddlesTheDuck 2808.68(57.89)
62cb474 2808.88(58.09)
63mattshwink 2809.00(58.21)
64Soaker 2690.80(59.99)
65jimmar 2811.76(60.97)
66shipwreck 2812.13(61.34)
67marvesen 2812.64(61.85)
68Ff4930 2813.00(62.21)
69Cernel 2813.14(62.35)
70Da5id 2814.21(63.42)
71cudaman 2817.15(66.36)
72kpick2 2818.19(67.40)
73iceport 2819.10(68.31)
74Sperry8 2820.01(69.22)
75aspirit 2820.20(69.41)
76tekenn 2820.48(69.69)
77Doingwell 2821.00(70.21)
78ducktoons 2821.56(70.77)
79naha66 2822.00(71.21)
80alisa4804 2822.69(71.90)
81sk 2826.54(75.75)
82Citigroup ♦2675.00(75.79)
83Dan_NoVa 2827.26(76.47)
84theduke 2673.61(77.18)
85FrugalInvestor 2828.00(77.21)
86bpr 2828.28(77.49)
87amarone 2672.99(77.80)
88badbreath 2672.00(78.79)
89BogleMelon 2830.00(79.21)
90jmg229 2830.61(79.82)
91drk 2832.73(81.94)
92William4589 2833.00(82.21)
93VictoriaF 2666.66(84.13)
94TxAg 2837.10(86.31)
95mark18068 2839.39(88.60)
96stickman731 2840.00(89.21)
97jossceluch 2841.27(90.48)
98dotstar 2841.60(90.81)
99redrose 2844.00(93.21)
100mp1233 2845.45(94.66)
101PaulW 2848.65(97.86)
102Nodenuff2 2849.41(98.62)
103Deutsche Bank ♦2850.00(99.21)
103Goldman Sachs ♦2850.00(99.21)
103CABob 2850.00(99.21)
106locald00d 2850.01(99.22)
107HSBC ♦2650.00(100.79)
108Mudpuppy 2851.67(100.88)
109camper 2851.81(101.02)
110JohnnyB 2852.12(101.33)
111giesen5 2852.34(101.55)
112packet 2852.62(101.83)
113Norris 2853.00(102.21)
114dccboone 2854.33(103.54)
115Jefferies ♦2855.00(104.21)
116Path2FIRE 2643.15(107.64)
117Derby 2859.00(108.21)
118Sage16 2859.38(108.59)
119Fizxman 2859.41(108.62)
120FrederickTheWise 2859.73(108.94)
121jamesSFO 2860.76(109.97)
121jchris 2860.76(109.97)
123Whiskeymike 2860.87(110.08)
1244803 2861.00(110.21)
125r007 2867.40(116.61)
126jmacdonald 2868.78(117.99)
127boo-yah 2870.96(120.17)
128CUBuffs 2872.00(121.21)
129karvesen 2872.22(121.43)
130obafgkm 2872.43(121.64)
131longleaf 2874.13(123.34)
132vanguardrocks 2874.32(123.53)
133Credit Suisse ♦2875.00(124.21)
133Flossy21 2875.00(124.21)
135Dadarkar 2626.16(124.63)
136nordsteve 2626.00(124.79)
137Chicagoan23 2876.00(125.21)
138gypsydavey 2877.40(126.61)
139Emeralds 2877.51(126.72)
140Westcoast 2877.55(126.76)
141Banjoman 2623.47(127.32)
142Mars9800 2885.00(134.21)
143vested1 2886.84(136.05)
144Juniper 2887.49(136.70)
145macaroon 2887.51(136.72)
146Livesimple 2888.00(137.21)
147ClaycordJCA 2888.25(137.46)
148profla 2888.38(137.59)
149Tennisplyr 2888.88(138.09)
150robebibb 2890.17(139.38)
151Kalo 2897.45(146.66)
152sauron22333 2897.70(146.91)
153KSAL889813 2898.98(148.19)
154Workerbeeengineer 2899.00(148.21)
155Moolala 2899.20(148.41)
156Brewman 2900.00(149.21)
156crg11 2900.00(149.21)
158Namashkar 2900.02(149.23)
159RPC1976 2900.18(149.39)
160amp 2601.05(149.74)
161skysoldier 2900.75(149.96)
162Rocket354 2901.06(150.27)
163Pete12 2902.97(152.18)
164JFanni 2903.54(152.75)
165runner26 2906.12(155.33)
166mister_sparkle 2907.00(156.21)
167pennywise777 2908.44(157.65)
168Agggm 2909.50(158.71)
169thangngo 2910.42(159.63)
170JMKEBogleGuy 2910.61(159.82)
171doing well 2590.21(160.58)
172Roverdog 2911.50(160.71)
173Grt2BOutdoors 2911.56(160.77)
174Silverado 2913.53(162.74)
175khangaroo 2914.14(163.35)
176moodindgo 2914.26(163.47)
177Apophis 2914.33(163.54)
178tacster 2914.50(163.71)
179aorin 2914.58(163.79)
180Nowizard 2914.66(163.87)
181surfer1 2916.01(165.22)
182supdodo 2917.00(166.21)
183salmonshark 2919.10(168.31)
184IronHorse1928 2920.18(169.39)
185bligh 2922.44(171.65)
186cp73 2923.00(172.21)
187Jerrk 2927.18(176.39)
188bsdsecprof 2927.91(177.12)
189watty 2929.29(178.50)
189Didymograptus 2929.29(178.50)
191timboktoo 2929.82(179.03)
192TheSaver 2929.92(179.13)
193Ace1 2930.31(179.52)
194lumpy 2930.75(179.96)
195seattletom1 2569.81(180.98)
196downbshiftme 2933.12(182.33)
197MarilynDennison 2935.00(184.21)
198paco sabio 2935.17(184.38)
199NDfan27 2935.19(184.40)
200venkman 2566.23(184.56)
201Kitty Telltales 2937.00(186.21)
202EnjoyIt 2938.30(187.51)
202The Wizard 2938.30(187.51)
204bnrtgb 2938.93(188.14)
205honduranhurricane 2940.97(190.18)
205spewin 2940.97(190.18)
207Beensabu 2942.12(191.33)
208Xanadu 2558.22(192.57)
209Lou354 2943.62(192.83)
210tuningfork 2944.01(193.22)
211Warowits 2555.55(195.24)
212Atomic 2555.22(195.57)
213uuuuu 2554.37(196.42)
214hirlaw 2553.60(197.19)
215Bank of Montreal ♦2950.00(199.21)
215mrussell22 2950.00(199.21)
217BigD13 2953.48(202.69)
218pivoprussia 2954.00(203.21)
219mclovin 2543.21(207.58)
220billyo44 2542.60(208.19)
221carolinaman 2960.00(209.21)
222Renter 2539.54(211.25)
223galectin 2537.47(213.32)
224runner9 2534.76(216.03)
225Briang 2967.00(216.21)
226FinancialDave 2967.67(216.88)
227Tycoon 2967.70(216.91)
227burgrat 2967.70(216.91)
229jon-nyc 2968.00(217.21)
230Caligal 2969.25(218.46)
231RadAudit 2970.01(219.22)
232integritetus 2970.65(219.86)
233speedbump101 2970.73(219.94)
234DIY60 2971.23(220.44)
235Engineer250 2971.36(220.57)
236dougger5 2972.12(221.33)
237krill 2974.39(223.60)
238hornet96 2974.75(223.96)
239Eagle33 2975.73(224.94)
240OrderAndChaos 2525.25(225.54)
241Bantam222 2976.34(225.55)
242Barnaclebob 2525.00(225.79)
243ge1 2523.00(227.79)
244Exhilarate 2978.93(228.14)
245bcjb 2979.06(228.27)
246dwickenh 2979.66(228.87)
247SimpleGift 2981.08(230.29)
248aj76er 2981.36(230.57)
249snarlyjack 2982.06(231.27)
250Dendritic Tree 2517.74(233.05)
251Peter Foley 2984.00(233.21)
252Big Mig 2984.14(233.35)
253Groundhog 2984.18(233.39)
254necrotic 2984.45(233.66)
255EddyB 2984.72(233.93)
256oldzey 2986.42(235.63)
257Luckywon 2514.88(235.91)
258queso 2987.54(236.75)
259rarvesen 2513.14(237.65)
260clip651 2989.00(238.21)
261EngCapt1 2989.05(238.26)
262pjtallman 2512.00(238.79)
263StormShadow 2990.14(239.35)
264turno77 2990.78(239.99)
265TylerS7 2992.31(241.52)
266kishinev 2993.33(242.54)
267newenglandpat 2993.76(242.97)
268PFInterest 2994.00(243.21)
269loveyourheart 2994.44(243.65)
270SimplicityNow 2994.45(243.66)
271Latebloomer 2994.88(244.09)
272kumar6851 2995.50(244.71)
273csm14 2996.39(245.60)
274CyclingDuo 2997.38(246.59)
275Dnewton 2997.39(246.60)
276FrankLUSMC 2997.61(246.82)
277trajan08 2998.00(247.21)
278Cuzz35 2998.19(247.40)
279kylevet 2999.00(248.21)
279fluffykitten 2999.00(248.21)
281SoonerD 2999.01(248.22)
282Bostonboy 2999.50(248.71)
283rosylenm 2999.99(249.20)
283Elsebet 2999.99(249.20)
285Evercore ISI ♦3000.00(249.21)
285Brewsky 3000.00(249.21)
285Vainvestor001 3000.00(249.21)
285Brian96 3000.00(249.21)
285Broken Man 1999 3000.00(249.21)
290auntie 3001.00(250.21)
291mortfree 3001.05(250.26)
292yarnandthread 3001.10(250.31)
293Christine_NM 2500.01(250.78)
294TIAX 2500.00(250.79)
295southport 3002.19(251.40)
296hulburt1 3002.53(251.74)
297Mitty 3002.73(251.94)
298cfs 3003.30(252.51)
299jimmyq 3003.67(252.88)
300diverski 3006.21(255.42)
301El Greco 3007.00(256.21)
302quantumfizz 3007.14(256.35)
303curiousinvestor 3007.19(256.40)
304feh 3007.40(256.61)
305chuck h 2493.25(257.54)
306moshe 3009.11(258.32)
307potto0213 3010.00(259.21)
308max12377 3010.56(259.77)
309sapphire96 3012.57(261.78)
310Big Snack 3013.13(262.34)
311Soupboy 3013.62(262.83)
312mdrileynyc 3014.16(263.37)
313R60rider 3014.59(263.80)
314david 3014.83(264.04)
315xerxes101 3014.92(264.13)
316Lynette 3018.99(268.20)
317Portfolio7 3020.10(269.31)
318AntsOnTheMarch 3021.52(270.73)
319Mlm 3021.72(270.93)
320stan1 3021.74(270.95)
321SHEEPDOG 2479.44(271.35)
322Chw 3026.50(275.71)
323CollegePrudens 2475.00(275.79)
324DCChak 3030.00(279.21)
325weltschmerz 2468.00(282.79)
326Cwise 3033.85(283.06)
327MilitaryDoc 3037.64(286.85)
328z9852 3038.63(287.84)
329MPAndy222 2459.38(291.41)
330MitchL 2456.78(294.01)
331clutchied 3046.27(295.48)
332investor 3047.94(297.14)
333cametomysenses 3048.08(297.29)
334THESEUS 3049.50(298.71)
335Bigjohn 2450.45(300.34)
336Barelybarefoot 2450.00(300.79)
336QuietProsperity 2450.00(300.79)
338Pedsdoc 3054.28(303.49)
339TD2626 3057.59(306.80)
340multiham 3065.14(314.35)
341librarianaire 2435.66(315.13)
342Joe_r95 3067.00(316.21)
3436bquick 3067.20(316.41)
344pennstater2005 3073.55(322.76)
345goblue100 3073.95(323.16)
346investorpeter 3074.65(323.86)
347Hopalong 3075.45(324.66)
348Dickerson 3075.52(324.73)
349teacher 2424.00(326.79)
350quantAndHold 2421.51(329.28)
351Gill 2417.98(332.81)
352wabbit 2416.50(334.29)
353stormswami 3085.27(334.48)
354zackluth 3088.02(337.23)
355onthecusp 3088.31(337.52)
356Info_Hound 3093.50(342.71)
357luv_ice_skating 2408.00(342.79)
358simplesimon 2406.25(344.54)
359b42 2403.00(347.79)
360SGM 3100.00(349.21)
360jpelder 3100.00(349.21)
362Drew31 2401.00(349.79)
363jefmafnl 2400.00(350.79)
364jazman12 3102.36(351.57)
365Not Law 3106.69(355.90)
366bac573 2391.66(359.13)
367Pretykev 3110.16(359.37)
368EyeYield 3111.11(360.32)
369Spud Dog 3112.30(361.51)
370mickens16 3115.75(364.96)
371walletless 2384.01(366.78)
372nonroom 3121.00(370.21)
373tman9940 3121.54(370.75)
374stevegpt 3123.00(372.21)
375adam1712 3124.23(373.44)
376earlyout 3126.00(375.21)
377Sandtrap 3128.62(377.83)
378Daryl 3131.31(380.52)
379climber2020 3132.33(381.54)
380rockonhumblepie 2369.00(381.79)
381fishandgolf 3133.00(382.21)
382mudfud 2365.61(385.18)
383Windylotus 3136.36(385.57)
384madpunster 3141.59(390.80)
385timmydink 2353.85(396.94)
386grabiner 2352.00(398.79)
387Nate79 3150.00(399.21)
388Noobvestor 2351.16(399.63)
389mfey09 2350.00(400.79)
389ohmygodabear 2350.00(400.79)
391postselect 3154.00(403.21)
392WannabeBogleHead01 3154.62(403.83)
393runner540 2345.67(405.12)
394bwb100 3159.48(408.69)
395BolderBoy 3161.14(410.35)
396acanthurus 3162.27(411.48)
397EmilyJane 2333.33(417.46)
398stlutz 2333.25(417.54)
399sbashore 3175.00(424.21)
400mikemagz11 3177.23(426.44)
401jidina80 2321.60(429.19)
402FiveK 3185.00(434.21)
403mrc 3192.74(441.95)
404donfairplay 3192.85(442.06)
405sls239 2308.18(442.61)
406nhdean 3194.26(443.47)
407gjv003 3197.22(446.43)
408lucky_tech_guy 3201.34(450.55)
409xystici 2299.31(451.48)
410MichaelRpdx 2298.78(452.01)
411TdF fan 3206.31(455.52)
412charis23 3208.00(457.21)
413pennstatebob 3209.64(458.85)
414LadyGeek 3210.98(460.19)
415shadyoaks 3211.23(460.44)
416UBS ♦3217.89(467.10)
416GettingThere 3217.89(467.10)
418Amitb00 3223.54(472.75)
419MEA 3223.56(472.77)
420GoldenFinch 3227.09(476.30)
421tnbison 3228.80(478.01)
422second-guesser 2272.75(478.04)
423sparky1500 2272.05(478.74)
424Sally 3231.17(480.38)
425Cash 2269.00(481.79)
426MnD 3234.69(483.90)
427just frank 3241.00(490.21)
4284a757374696e 3242.42(491.63)
429amock 3245.80(495.01)
4302cents2 3252.88(502.09)
431Minty 3255.18(504.39)
432richard37 3255.67(504.88)
433In09348 3256.00(505.21)
434KingsBench 2243.00(507.79)
435pjshen 2241.00(509.79)
436Miriam2 2240.00(510.79)
437Mel Lindauer 2222.22(528.57)
437Cheeseflip 2222.22(528.57)
439sport 3283.00(532.21)
440goalie 3311.10(560.31)
441dowse 2187.23(563.56)
442minesweep 3322.11(571.32)
443TheBezzle 3332.21(581.42)
444Bliksem55 3335.00(584.21)
445FreeAtLast 2165.62(585.17)
446gotherelate 2163.00(587.79)
447NYnative 2162.52(588.27)
448Geeked 3342.00(591.21)
449Salty1 3344.33(593.54)
450bdavidson 2156.65(594.14)
451oldcomputerguy 2156.64(594.15)
452doglaws 2150.00(600.79)
453TomP10 2138.89(611.90)
454BogleAllTheWay 2125.36(625.43)
455Green Street 3386.42(635.63)
456Dwayne 3394.01(643.22)
457bgf 3400.12(649.33)
458BigFoot48 2100.01(650.78)
459psystal 2098.34(652.45)
460kiddoc 2093.61(657.18)
461StevieG72 3422.50(671.71)
462toblerone 3434.34(683.55)
463Jiu Jitsu Fighter 2062.50(688.29)
464vitaflo 3456.00(705.21)
465Dicast 3474.90(724.11)
466Chicago60 2018.00(732.79)
466shanefairman 2018.00(732.79)
468spth 2005.00(745.79)
469tioscrooge 2000.00(750.79)
469InvestInPasta 2000.00(750.79)
471Gasman21 1997.32(753.47)
472Compound 1997.00(753.79)
473JCE66 3513.55(762.76)
474sergeant 1984.73(766.06)
475Wildebeest 1984.00(766.79)
476raven15 1983.53(767.26)
477Paper200 1975.00(775.79)
478Tnjj 3529.17(778.38)
479Farmboyslim83 3535.00(784.21)
480selters 3551.09(800.30)
481snodog 3551.10(800.31)
482Siamond 1815.00(935.79)
483michaelsieg 1808.00(942.79)
484Wind_Reaver 1784.73(966.06)
485k66 1726.36(1024.43)
486Water 3835.38(1084.59)
487simplesauce 1600.00(1150.79)
488Gary 1478.99(1271.80)
489MoonOrb 1443.10(1307.69)
490zigadenus 1404.04(1346.75)
491jesusbenananias 1234.56(1516.23)
492Byegneswaran 25200.00(22449.21)
493Garthilk 32350.00(29599.21)



SummaryBogleheadsWall Street Experts
Number of entries47914
Average guess2832.492840.92
Difference81.790.13


ralph arvesen | www.lostsoak.com